57/100FOR SALE
$399,900
515 S Shields St · Fort Collins
New construction
$647,350
List price · $1,529 / yr tax · $75 / mo
4Bedrooms
3Bathrooms
3,312Sq ft
2Garage
$195 / sqftPrice / sq ft
2026Year built
0.12 acLot size
Our statistical model*
$655,000based on what similar homes sold for
*Based on a mathematical and statistical model: machine learning trained on 15,000 local sales. Not intended as an appraisal.
Asking $647k
Half between $610k and $781k
What similar homes support16 similar homes, priced to today's marketUnusual sale
The asking price is in line with what similar homes support.
This listing's history adds context: 164 days on the market (similar-priced homes got an accepted offer in 11 days), 3 price cuts, and one contract that fell through.
What "similar homes" means here
Detached homes with 4 bedrooms, 2,050 to 3,810 sq ft above ground (within 30% of this home), built 2001 to 2026, sold in the last 12 months. We start within 1 mile and widen, up to 3 miles, until there are at least 12. Here: 2 miles, 16 homes.
These rules were picked by testing them against 2,275 real sales.
Why $655,000
- Similar homes' median, priced to today's market$835.4k
- Location: homes nearest this one sell for less-$99.0k
- Age and condition-$35.8k
- Size-$14.5k
- Other details and model fine-tuning-$31.1k
- Our statistical model$655.0k
Tested on 1,200 real sales: half sold within 7.5% of our estimate.
This listing so far
Listed June 2 at $674,900, cut to $674,350 September 9, cut to $666,250 September 25, cut to $647,350 September 29, under contract October 14, back on market November 3, day 164 today.
Asking per sq ft
$221
$647,350 for 2,931 sq ft above ground
Similar homes sold for
$308
per sq ft · half between $289 and $330
Days on market
164
similar-priced homes got an accepted offer in 11 days
Asking price per sq ft vs. what similar homes sold for
This home: $230 → $221Half of similar homes
This home's asking price per sq ft is below most similar homes' sold prices per sq ft.
Detached home prices in Fort Collins, same-quality homes
-0.1% from the 2024 peak
A home like this one, same quality over timeMedian sale price of similar homes that quarter
The dots jump because only 11 to 36 similar homes sell each quarter, and which ones sell changes. The line removes that effect. County records start in 2022; the line runs through July to September 2026. The line runs below the dots because our model prices this home below the typical similar home.
Fort Collins homes listed at $550k to $740k that sold since June 2026, versus their first asking price
Typical sale price
99% of asking
middle half: 96% to 100%
Time to an accepted offer
11 days
middle half: 5 to 23 days
Sold at or above asking
38%
26% cut their price first
86 sales.
This home and the 16 similar homes
| Address | Date | Price | Sq ft | $/sq ft | Miles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Listed Jun 2026 | $647k | 2,931 | $221 | - | |
| Jun 2026 | $680k | 2,118 | $321 | 0.4 | |
| May 2026 | $855k | 2,830 | $302 | 0.6 | |
| Feb 2026 | $647k | 2,554 | $253 | 0.7 | |
| Jun 2026 | $685k | 2,541 | $270 | 0.7 | |
| Feb 2026 | $650k | 2,129 | $305 | 0.7 | |
| Dec 2025 | $650k | 2,129 | $305 | 0.7 | |
| Sep 2026 | $825k | 2,787 | $296 | 0.7 | |
| Oct 2026 | $910k | 2,787 | $327 | 0.8 | |
| Oct 2026 | $877k | 3,271 | $268 | 0.9 | |
| Dec 2025 | $885k | 3,013 | $294 | 1.0 | |
| Jun 2026 | $875k | 2,523 | $347 | 1.0 | |
| Apr 2026 | $560k | 2,226 | $252 | 1.2 | |
| Dec 2025 | $749k | 2,492 | $301 | 1.2 | |
| Feb 2026 | $865k | 2,110 | $410 | 1.3 | |
| Sep 2026 | $970k | 2,869 | $338 | 1.6 | |
| Jul 2026 | $1,500k | 2,443 | $614 | 1.9 |
° unusual sale, kept in the list and in the medians.
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About this home
1821 Desert Lark Street
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Your guide
Listing agent
Soukup Real Estate
License pending
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Modeled value, rent and projections are estimates produced by The Soukup Group's own model — not appraisals, not financial advice, and not third-party valuations. Ranges and confidence reflect real uncertainty. Equal Housing Opportunity.